According to a poll (Dutch) released yesterday Geert Wilders' Freedom Party (PVV) has the largest share of the votes if elections would be held now. The Freedom Party polled at 27, while the next biggest party polled at 26.
This low point of the Christian Democrats shows the fractured nature of the Dutch political landscape. The advances made by the Freedom Party were mostly at the expense of the other "right wing" parties. It will be very difficult to put governments together, governments will consist of three or more parties, be unstable and they will lack clear mandates.
Minor parties such as the Christian Union and the Greens will have enormous leverage during negotiations over coalitions. I forecast new limitations on abortion and stricter limits on euthanasia.
The graph of the poll is linked here.
15 February 2009: Freedom Party polls at 25 seats
8 Februari 2009: Freedom Party polls at 23 seats
13 March 2007: Freedom Party polls at 18 seats